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CURRENT HOME VS. PROSPECTIVE HOMES · SEPTEMBER 2026 BASELINE

Downsize Scenario

Compare your current home with saved prospective homes. Change any assumption and the cash-flow, housing, and lifestyle views update together.

01 · EDITABLE BASELINE

Test assumptions by refining the values.

Clicking Update original assumptions makes all currently displayed values the new “original” values (baseline).
Prospective homes

Current home · 4,000 sq ft ranch

One story · bayou view · secure subdivision

UTILITIES & SERVICESIncluded in total current spending
HOME-RELATED COST COMPARISONCurrent home vs. the selected prospective home
Current home gross equityHome value − mortgage payoff
Current Home Monthly CostsIncludes utilities and maintenance
Prospective home-related / monthIncludes size-based utility estimate
Monthly home-cost savingsProspective home compared with Current home

Current home home-related costs

Prospective home home-related costs

Maintenance reserve

A planning allowance—not a current bill—for irregular repairs and replacements such as the roof, HVAC, appliances, plumbing, and painting.

02 · THE FINANCIAL COMPARISON

Compare the Financial Effects of Current home vs.Candidate 1

Vanguard Needed While Preserving Cash Reserve · Current homeSept. 2026 through Dec. 2035
Vanguard Needed While Preserving Cash Reserve · Candidate 1Same period
Withdrawals avoidedCandidate 1 compared with Current home

Yearly cash flow from closing through 2035

Annual income minus total annual expenses; negative years require Vanguard withdrawals.

LegendCurrent homeCandidate 1Above $0: surplus · Below $0: withdrawal
MOVE-DAY MATH

See annual cash-flow table for Candidate 1
How to read the last four columnsWithdrawals measure cash taken out. Vanguard change measures what happened to the account after estimated investment growth and withdrawals.
Current home withdrawalsAmount taken from Vanguard during the year to cover the gap between income and expenses if you remain in the current home.
Prospective home withdrawalsAmount taken from Vanguard for the all-cash closing shortfall, if any, plus later cash-flow gaps after moving to the selected home.
Net Vanguard change · Current homeEstimated investment growth minus Current home withdrawals. “Ends” is the projected Vanguard balance at year-end.
Net Vanguard change · Prospective homeEstimated investment growth minus prospective-home withdrawals. “Ends” is the projected Vanguard balance at year-end.
Starting balance+estimated growthwithdrawals=ending balance

A positive Vanguard change means estimated growth exceeded withdrawals. A negative change means withdrawals exceeded estimated growth.

WHY VANGUARD CHANGES WHEN THE ANNUITY STARTSThe annuity reduces withdrawals—it does not enter Vanguard.

Beginning in February 2031, the fixed annuity supplies additional spending income, allowing more Vanguard investment growth to remain invested.

Year ExpensesCurrent home ExpensesCandidate 1 IncomeSS with COLA WithdrawalsCurrent home WithdrawalsCandidate 1 Vanguard changeCurrent home Vanguard changeCandidate 1

Income includes Social Security increased annually by the entered COLA, plus the fixed annuity beginning in its entered month and year. The annuity itself receives no COLA in this model. Approximate Vanguard changes compound the entered annual growth rate monthly, then subtract modeled withdrawals. Each cell also shows the estimated year-end balance.

Compare/Evaluate saved prospective homes

Select a home to open its quality-of-life evaluation. Financial results use the shared current-home and income assumptions; quality-of-life scores and Must Have results remain specific to each prospective home.

CandidateMonthly savingsCash retained after saleQuality-of-life scoreMust Haves not met
04 · LONG-TERM RISK PROJECTION

How resilient is each housing choice through 2046?

A Monte Carlo projection tests thousands of possible futures rather than assuming that investment returns and costs follow one fixed path.

SIMULATION10,000 simulations for each housing choiceCurrent home plus every prospective home with complete financial information.Calculating total simulations…
How to read this section

Funds last through 2046 is the percentage of simulations in which Vanguard never reaches $0. The range shows the 10th–90th percentile of projected 2046 balances. The retained-cash amount stays separate; any closing surplus above it is added to Vanguard, while only a shortfall is withdrawn.

Housing choiceFunds last through 2046Median 2046 Vanguard balanceLikely 2046 range

Median projected Vanguard balance(Monte Carlo projection)

Each line is the middle result from 10,000 simulations. If a median projection reaches $0, a tick marks the approximate month and year. Select a legend item to show or hide that housing choice.

Approximate Vanguard value at six-month intervals

Median projected balances from the Monte Carlo simulations. A dash identifies a prospective home with incomplete financial information.

Probability analysis only. It does not change the model's financial comparison, saved assumptions, or quality-of-life scores. Results are planning estimates—not investment advice or a guarantee.

05 · REVIEW GUIDE

Quick-start sequence and limitations

Quick-start sequence

  1. Confirm the Current home information.
  2. Confirm the shared Income & Timing assumptions.
  3. Add or select a prospective home and complete its required fields.
  4. Review the all-cash transaction and retained-cash result.
  5. Review annual cash flow, Vanguard, and Monte Carlo projections.
  6. Evaluate quality of life separately and compare saved homes.

Important limitations

  • This is a planning aid—not tax, investment, insurance, lending, legal, or real-estate advice.
  • Property values, costs, closing dates, and retained-cash needs must be entered or verified by the user.
  • The model stores listing URLs but does not import listing data.
  • Vanguard and Monte Carlo results are assumption-driven estimates, not guarantees.
  • An all-cash shortfall means the no-new-mortgage objective cannot be met using the entered values.